Authors: Cornelli U, Belcaro G, Cesarone MR, Roberto Cotellese.
Background: The cov19 is becoming a problem in most of the developed countries.
Material and Methods: Data of positive cases and deaths due to Cov19 in the month of March were retrieved from the official documents released by the Italian Protezione Civile Dept. The curves of the growth were analyzed in terms of crude numbers and differential values among days. The data were correlated with some demographic, social, and environmental variables.
Results: Cov19 is affecting the most productive areas of Italy, particularly the Northen territory and Marche in the center of Italy. The correlation of the growth was positive for population density, people living in flat land and mountains, number of industries, number of workers, and GP. The temperature of places where people get together is usually kept between 21-23oC and low humidity, which allow the viral spreading. The positive cases are estimated in about 8% of the population, with a death rate 0.96 % of the cases (with of for Cov19). These figures are hardly sustainable for any Health System. Despite the pick seems apparently already reached, the reduction of the cases up to affordable numbers will take a long time.
Conclusion: Cov19 is affecting particularly the most prosperous Italian Regions, were the high interaction among people is the common life style. This was causing a rapid diffusion of the virus, and an unsustainable effort for emergency rooms in the hospitals. The Italian situation can be a mirror of the disease progression in many other countries.
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